2012 Hurricane Season starting in May?

This is an interesting article found on crownweather.com.  This is a long range prediction that we all know is not typically the most accurate but let’s all use it as a wake up call that hurricane season is just around the corner. This aricle suggests we could be subject to a Hurricane in May.

Model Guidance Still Hinting At Tropical Development In As Little As 7 Days From Now Somewhere Between The Western Caribbean & Near The US Southeast Coast

Saturday, May 12, 2012 10:16 am

by Rob Lightbown

The long range forecast guidance continues to point to potential tropical or sub-tropical development in about a week from now. The guidance, however, cannot agree on where exactly this development may occur.

The latest GFS model is forecasting that development will occur in the western Caribbean near the north coast of Honduras as early as next Saturday and forecasts it to slowly track northward into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by about May 25th before tracking across south Florida during the Memorial Day weekend.

The European model guidance has a completely different solution and forecasts the development of a sub-tropical storm near Great Abaco Island in the northwestern Bahamas on Friday and forecasts this sub-tropical storm to track northward just off of the east coast of Florida next Saturday before coming inland in southeastern and eastern North Carolina next Sunday and next Monday.

The Canadian model seems to agree with the GFS model and forecasts the development of a tropical system in the western Caribbean between May 19th and May 21st. It should be pointed out that the European ensemble guidance seems to hint at lowering pressures in the southwestern and western Caribbean right around May 20th and 21st supporting the GFS operational model idea.

My thoughts are really no different than what they were a couple of days ago: The overall weather pattern that is forecast to set up for the second half of May is one that can lead to early season tropical development in either the western Caribbean or somewhere near the Bahamas much like what all of the model guidance is hinting at. Many of the analog years that I have been looking at for this upcoming hurricane season have had early season tropical development. These years include 1951, 1957 and 1976; in fact, 1951 and 1976 had tropical development in May with Category 3 Hurricane Able developing just off of the US Southeast Coast in Mid-May of 1951.

So, I do think that the GFS, European and Canadian models are pointing out what could happen with the pattern that is forecast to set up. I think we really need to start watching the corridor between the northwestern Bahamas and the western Caribbean starting around next Saturday and then right through the following week (Week of May 21st) .

Obviously this is something that is not a guarantee, but it is a distinct possibility and it will be something that I will be keeping close tabs on and I will post another discussion on this potential first thing Monday morning.

Free Claim Review With a Florida Public Adjuster

What our clients say…

  • Joel Z. AvatarJoel Z.

    The most professional organization that you will ever deal with.They really know the inner workings of insurance companies and how to get you what you deserve.It was an absolute pleasure working with Eric and the entire staff.They let you know step by step where you are in the negotiations and conduct themselves as true gentleman.I cannot praise their work ethics and follow through anymore than by giving them my heartfelt “thanks”, for a job well done.Ellen & Joel Zeiger - 10/23/2018 

    none n. Avatarnone n.

    I dealt with Gregg, he was very professional. My insurance company wanted to give me $11,000. After contacting Gregg, he looked at my policy discovered I was entitled to a lot more things that they didn't pay me for. With his ideas and techniques I got a total of $33,000. Nice Job! - 10/02/2017 

    Michael N. AvatarMichael N.

    Absolutely the Best in the Business. Without their professionalism, expertise, reliability & trustworthiness - we NEVER would've came to an Agreement with our Insurance Company. THANKS GREG ROOVER (ADJUSTER) and all that worked on our behalf. - 6/14/2017 

  • carlos c. Avatarcarlos c.

    Greg helped us out through a difficult time with great results. Always kept us informed throughout the process. - 10/02/2017 

    Cyn AvatarCyn

    Great service from Claim Concepts, It helped me so much dealing with uncooperative insurence and received what I deserved, Thank you so much Greg! - 10/02/2018 

    Richard B. AvatarRichard B.

    I tried to work with my insurance company due to hurricane roof damage. After frustrating phone calls I decided to look for help. Claim Concepts took over and got me the funds.Thank you. - 4/18/2021 

If you are looking for a Public Adjuster Near Me, you came to the right place. Our Florida Public Adjusters represent Policyholders Statewide, including but not limited to the following areas:

Florida Panhandle, Bay County, Washington County, Holmes County, Jackson County, Calhoun County, Gulf County, Franklin County, Liberty County, Gadsden County, Wakulla County, Leon County, Panama City, Panama City Beach, Marianna, Port Saint Joe, Apalachicola, Blountstown, Tallahassee, Mexico Beach, Callaway, Chattahoochee, Lynn Haven, South Florida, Central Florida, Northern Florida, Southwest Florida, West Florida, Palm Beach County, Martin County, St Lucie County, Broward County, Okeechobee County, Brevard County, Glades County, Indian River County, Lee County, Dade County, Boca Raton, Jupiter, Palm Beach Gardens, West Palm Beach, Wellington, Boynton Beach, Lake Worth, Hobe Sound, Stuart, Palm City, Juno Beach, North Palm Beach, Royal Palm Beach, Singer Island, Riviera Beach, Collier County, Charlotte County, Palm Bay, Melbourne, Vero Beach, Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Orange County, Orlando, Port Saint Lucie, Weston, Delray Beach, Kissimmee, Fort Pierce, Greenacres